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Information Security Forum Launches Threat Horizon 2020

March 2018 by The Information Security Forum (ISF)

The Information Security Forum (ISF) released Threat
Horizon 2020, the latest in a series of annual Threat Horizon reports. Developed for
business leaders who need to rapidly grasp emerging information security threats and
assess the potential business impacts, Threat Horizon 2020 balances today’s
realities with forecasts that push the limits of thinking. The latest report
highlights nine major threats, broken down into three themes, that organizations can
expect to face over the next two years as a result of increasing developments in
technology. The impacts of these threats mirror day-to-day operations in today’s
increasingly fractured world.

"Over the next two years, business leaders will face regular and complex decisions
about protecting their critical information and systems. Existing solutions that
have been relied upon for years will be exposed as inadequate," said Steve Durbin,
Managing Director, ISF. "Only organizations that understand this rapidly changing
and complex environment will remain firm and unshakeable. Those that are unprepared
and incapable of responding quickly will crumble as they defend against an onslaught
of potent, day-to-day cyber-attacks."

By 2020, nation states will be added to the list of attackers - such as terrorist
groups, organized criminals, hacktivists and hackers - that every organization must
consider. Working alone, or together, each will be harder to counter than ever,
their activities taking no account of land barriers or legislation. In addition,
while providing exciting opportunities for organizations to expand and drive
efficiency, advances in technology will offer these attackers refined versions of
their weapon of choice - cyber.

Threat Horizon 2020 focuses on particularly difficult cyber security challenges in a
way that is relevant to senior business managers, information security professionals
and other key organizational stakeholders. The three key themes in the latest report
include:

1 - Conflict Looms: Nation states and terrorist groups will increasingly weaponize
the cyber domain, launching attacks on critical national infrastructure that cause
widespread destruction and chaos. With power, communications and logistics systems
down, organisations will lose the basic building blocks needed for doing business.
Heating, air conditioning, lighting, transport, information, communication and a
safe working environment will no longer be taken for granted.

2 - Technology Outpaces Controls: Technology has advanced at an astonishing rate in
the last decade and the pace is only set to accelerate. Capabilities that seemed
impossible only a short time ago will develop extremely quickly, aiding those who
see them coming and hindering those who don’t. Developments in smart technology will
create new possibilities for organisations of all kinds - but they will also create
opportunities for attackers and adversaries by reducing the effectiveness of
existing controls. Previously well-protected information will become vulnerable.

3 - Pressure Skews Judgement: Existing controls and methods of managing information
risk will be put under severe stress by an avalanche of new technologies,
regulations and pressures on employees. Organisations that have a good record of
securing information will be at risk of complacency, judging that the way they have
always done things will continue to work in the future - a dangerous attitude to
take.

"Over the coming years, the very foundations of today’s digital world will shake -
violently. Innovative and determined attackers, along with seismic changes to the
way organizations conduct their operations, will combine to threaten even the
strongest establishments. Only those with robust preparations will stand tall,"
continued Durbin. "Many of the recommendations in Threat Horizon 2020 can be quickly
and easily implemented over the next two years to help organizations securely
navigate today’s expanding threat landscape with greater confidence."

Threat Horizon 2020, aimed at senior business executives up to and including board
level, provides a practical, forward-looking view of the increasing threats in
today’s always-on, interconnected world. This in turn enables a better prepared,
strategic approach to managing and mitigating risk.


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